Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000126 0.000140 0.000154 0.000170 0.000189 0.000209 0.000233
2025-07-20 0.000103 0.000122 0.000145 0.000174 0.000208 0.000249 0.000302
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000109 0.000136 0.000172 0.000220 0.000279 0.000362
2025-08-03 0.000077 0.000101 0.000132 0.000175 0.000234 0.000314 0.000429
2025-08-10 0.000068 0.000092 0.000125 0.000173 0.000241 0.000337 0.000484
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000086 0.000120 0.000171 0.000248 0.000360 0.000540
2025-08-24 0.000055 0.000079 0.000114 0.000168 0.000252 0.000379 0.000591
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000162 0.000251 0.000390 0.000632
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000069 0.000104 0.000163 0.000259 0.000415 0.000697
2025-09-14 0.000043 0.000067 0.000103 0.000165 0.000270 0.000447 0.000778
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000063 0.000099 0.000162 0.000272 0.000463 0.000831
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000156 0.000267 0.000466 0.000862
2025-10-05 0.000034 0.000055 0.000091 0.000156 0.000276 0.000496 0.000950
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000054 0.000090 0.000159 0.000289 0.000535 0.001062
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000051 0.000088 0.000158 0.000294 0.000560 0.001151
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000050 0.000087 0.000160 0.000307 0.000601 0.001279
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000047 0.000084 0.000158 0.000309 0.000623 0.001368
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000045 0.000082 0.000156 0.000314 0.000648 0.001468
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000153 0.000315 0.000666 0.001554
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000149 0.000311 0.000673 0.001613
2025-11-30 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000149 0.000318 0.000706 0.001744
2025-12-07 0.000020 0.000038 0.000073 0.000151 0.000330 0.000751 0.001915
2025-12-14 0.000019 0.000036 0.000071 0.000148 0.000330 0.000768 0.002011